Stat Padders

The Official Site of the Michigan Basketball Analytics Association

Mike Bets #314

2 min read

Happy Thursday. There’s nothing like a good Wednesday to keep a week going strong, and that’s what we had yesterday with a 3-1 single game NBA record and a hit on the +134 parlay. We’re doing well; let’s keep it rolling.

TODAY’S PLAYS

NBA record: 189-178-8 ATS (20-38 Underdog ML), 13-16-1 O/U, 5-8 parlay, 0-2 props

  • Bucks +110

Underdog Bucks? Underdog Bucks. Brooklyn is starting to play like an actual threat with both KD and Kyrie healthy and fully available, but they have the same record (7-3) as the Bucks over their last ten and have dropped two of four. This is still a team figuring things out rather than an unstoppable juggernaut, and the Bucks are just better. They picked up a huge road win in Philly just the other day too. They grab another win here and keep pace with the Heat at the top of the East.

  • Pistons +9.5

You have to go back to February 11 to find the last time the Pistons lost by more than 11 points, and they have just one loss of more than 9 (that 11-point loss to the Celtics twenty days ago) during that span. They haven’t been winning a ton of games lately, but they’re playing good, tight games. This line is a little big, especially at home. The Sixers will be pushing for the win, but it won’t be easy.

  • Hawks -6

This line is a little big, I won’t lie. But Cleveland just lost to the Mavs yesterday while the Hawks got to go into cruise control against the Thunder, and the Cavs are very gettable right now. With the Hawks playing well and looking to move a little further up the standings, I like them to win comfortable enough to cover in this one.

  • Lakers +13.5

LeBron is out, and the Lakers are terrible regardless. But Utah is really playing poorly with five straight losses, and this is a pretty massive line. Los Angeles should keep it closer than this.

CBB record: 373-395-7 ATS (60-78 Underdog ML), 12-43 parlay

Conference Tournament record: 43-43-2 ATS (7-17 Underdog ML)

NCAA Tournament record: 17-21 ATS (3-8 Underdog ML)

NIT record: 8-7 ATS (2-3 Underdog ML)

  • Texas A&M -4.5

A&M has won every NIT game by at least 12. That includes wins over Oregon, Wake Forest, and Washington State, all of which came by at least 15. They’re simply rolling, as they have been pretty much all March. They finish the job here. Xavier earned their way to this title game after scuffling down the stretch during the regular season, but they’ve been nowhere near as impressive as the Aggies.

NBA/CBB PARLAYS: 7-18

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