Stat Padders

The Official Site of the Michigan Basketball Analytics Association

Mike Bets #513

3 min read

Happy Monday. Yesterday was a 1-2 day with the Kings losing both the game and the series and the Knicks losing to the Heat but also hitting the under. We’ll bounce back today. But first, let’s take a look at last night’s action…

  • Heat 108, Knicks 101

The Knicks won the first quarter 32-21, but they fell apart from there. New York was ice cold from three, and they couldn’t quite make up for it with a strong performance on the interior. The team as a whole was just 7-34 from deep, and players not named Obi Toppin shot just 3-23. For Miami, Jimmy Butler was a little short of great, but he was still pretty good with 25 points on 8-16 shooting. Gabe Vincent and Kyle Lowry stepped up to combine for 38. The Knicks will need to find a more effective way to play without Julius Randle if he’s going to continue to be out with his ankle injury; it’s likely that simply relying on the law of averages to improve their three-point shooting will have a pretty solid impact.

  • Warriors 120, Kings 100

The Kings were up 58-56 at half, but the Warriors absolutely dominated the second half to win Game 7 and the series. After the first four games were won by the home team, each of the last three went the way of the visitor. Steph (50 points) and Kevon Looney (11 and 21) were absolutely massive in this one. Curry just about single-handedly shifted the three-point battle, hitting seven triples in a game that saw the Warriors make 15 and the Kings make 12. And Looney helped the Warriors gain slight edges on the boards and in the paint. Sacramento just wasn’t quite up for the moment. De’Aaron Fox shot 5-19 from the floor. Malik Monk was 4-14. Kevin Huerter missed five of six threes. It was a rough offensive performance, and it will leave a bitter taste in their mouths this summer. What it shouldn’t do is change the perception of this season as a massive success for the Kings. This was a huge step for the franchise. Now they try to build on it for next year. Golden State will march on in the playoffs; a big matchup with the Lakers awaits.


✅✅✅ = right team, right number of games

✅✅ = right team, one game off

✅ = right team

❌ = wrong team

First round tally: 4-4 on team picks, 2 within a game 

Second Round

Nuggets in 6 (original pick)

Celtics in 5 (original pick)

Knicks in 5 (Bucks>Cavs was original pick)

Warriors in 5 (Grizzlies>Kings was original pick)


NBA record: 243-215-7 ATS, 33-76 ML, 133-102-4 O/U, 2-10 parlay, 0-1 props, 0-1 series price -33.80 units

NBA regular season record: 225-198-7 ATS, 32-67 ML, 116-90-3 O/U, 2-10 parlay, 0-1 props, -23.62 units

NBA postseason record: 18-17 ATS, 1-9 ML, 17-11-1 O/U, 0-0 parlay, 0-1 series price, -10.18 units

  • Nuggets -4
  • Suns Nuggets O229
  • Sixers +10
  • Sixers Celtics U215


CBB record: 254-229-12 ATS, 57-83 ML, 5-5 O/U, 17-25 parlay, -9.83 units

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