Stat Padders

The Official Site of the Michigan Basketball Analytics Association

Mike Bets #89

3 min read

I have to pump out some picks today for timing, but we first need to take a moment of silence for Baylor -8.5.

(Stay silent here)

(Count to 11 – silently – because that’s how many points Baylor should have won by)

This was just brutal. This is the kind of moment that make you question whether Bill Self is just the devil in a Bill Self costume because that was unbelievable. Get beat soundly all game and then hit whatever the heck this was at the buzzer to gain some respect for covering. Just absolutely ridiculous, and it made me settle for a +$25 CBB day instead of +$67. I’m still not over it, but I would like everyone to re-read that last sentence and leave this paragraph knowing that I was +$25 on college basketball yesterday despite this tragedy.

For the NBA, I’m 1-0 in my last one and that’s really all that matters.

College Basketball Record: 237-224-3 on individual bets, 9-45 on parlays, +$225

All Involved CBB Picks: 305-278-6 ATS, 26-34 Dog MLs

NBA Record: 15-28, 0-7 on parlays, -$416 (I have no comment at this point)

Joint Parlays: 0-2, -$25

  • $22 plays

Kent State v. Buffalo (+4)

Ohio State v. Purdue (+5)

Ball State (-3.5) v. Miami OH

Michigan (-10.5) v. Maryland

Alabama (-1) v. LSU

Mississippi State (-2) v. Ole Miss

  • CBB Parlay – $11 to win $61

MLs for Ball State, Tennessee, Missouri, Bowling Green, and Syracuse

  • CBB Parlay 2 – $11 to win $80

MLs for Alabama, Mississippi State, and Buffalo

  • NBA plays

Jazz v. Pelicans (+204) – $20

GAMES TO KEEP AN EYE ON

  • OU v. Kansas State

Sooners should win easily. A loss would be a big blow to their chances of staying off the bubble.

  • Syracuse v. Miami

An absolute must-win for Syracuse if they want to build an at-large resume.

  • Akron v. Bowling Green

Inconsistent Akron just topped Toledo (now 6-1 in MAC) in overtime. Can Bowling Green (also 6-1) avoid the same fate?

  • Toledo v. CMU

Toledo should bounce back and win. How good will they look?

  • Tennessee v. Florida

Can Tennessee stay within reach of Bama against a Florida team that has been all over the place this season?

  • Missouri v. South Carolina

Missouri has been prone to struggles against lesser teams in recent conference games. Can they avoid that here?

  • USC v. Oregon State

The same could be said of USC. They should crush the Beavers and stick around the top of the PAC 12, but it might be easier said than done.

  • Penn State v. Illinois

This is a great opportunity for Illinois to bounce back and get back to their winning ways after two consecutive losses. Can they get the job done?

  • Colorado State v. Utah State

Utah State swept San Diego State last week to put themselves in the top tier of the Mountain West with Boise State. Can they stay there with more wins over Colorado State? CSU is a top-four team in the conference, but they needed a huge second half comeback to split games with SDSU. Getting a win over USU here would be huge for them.

  • Villanova v. Seton Hall

Nova is finally back after a long covid break, and their first game is a tough test against 9-5 Seton Hall. They’re the better team, but hitting the ground running could be a challenge. Can they keep their perfect Big East record (just 3-0) intact?

  • Duke v. Pitt

Duke still doesn’t have a quality win. Getting the best of 7-2 Pitt, who is coming off a sweep of Syracuse, would be a step in the right direction before a road trip to Louisville. For Pitt, this is a big chance to really announce their at-large intentions.

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