Stat Padders

The Official Site of the Michigan Basketball Analytics Association

Mike Bets #256

2 min read

WACO, TX - JANUARY 11: Adonis Arms #25 of the Texas Tech Red Raiders celebrates following Tech’s 65-62 win over the Baylor Bears at the Ferrell Center on January 11, 2022 in Waco, Texas. (Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images)

Happy Monday. Saturday wasn’t ideal with an 0-3 NBA record and a 12-13 CBB run, but that’s also far from a disaster. After a day off to recover from the Packers being the Packers on Saturday night, we’re back and ready to hit the ground running. Let’s find some winners and start the week off right.


NBA record: 99-104-5 ATS (16-23 Underdog ML), 11-14-1 O/U, 1-2 parlay, 0-1 props

  • PARLAY: Suns and Cavs ML (about -140)

I don’t like the NBA board tonight, but this feels like a solid bet.

The Suns have rolled to a 3-game lead at the top of the West and had yesterday off. The Jazz have stumbled with various injuries to their stars, and they’ll go into this one with Donovan Mitchell and coming off a loss to the Warriors last night that saw six players play 28+ minutes. Phoenix should win.

The Cavs are 8-3 in their last eleven and are 8-2 in their last ten home games going back to early December. They also didn’t play yesterday while the Knicks (2-3 in their last five and 6-4 in their last 10) grinned out an afternoon win over the Clippers. Both Julius Randle and RJ Barrett played at least 40 minutes. Cleveland is in a good spot to win too.

CBB record: 147-162-3 ATS (18-29 Underdog ML)

  • Belmont -25.5

Eastern Illinois has lost each of their last three games by 26+. Belmont has some frustrations to take out after a tough stretch, and they should demolish EIU in this one.

  • Florida -4

Florida hasn’t been particularly good against good teams this year, but they’ve largely taken care of business against the middle of the pack and the teams they should beat, that bizarre loss to Texas Southern being the exception. Against an Ole Miss team that’s been taken to the woodshed four times in a row, this is a small line. Florida has a solid shot at going dancing if they just win they games they should, and they won’t miss an opportunity to do that here.

  • UNC -4.5

UNC has been a mess away from home, but they’ve looked pretty good in Chapel Hill. With a very underwhelming Virginia Tech team coming to town, I like the Tar Heels to get back in the win column and re-balance their at-large efforts.

  • Texas Tech +7

Texas Tech has been a bit of a wild card outside of Lubbock, but Kansas, while clearly a very good team that will win a lot of games, hasn’t exactly proven that they deserve to be getting 7 points against a tough opponent. I think Tech keeps it close.

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