Mike Bets #41

I’m back with some picks today after last week’s dumpster fire. Today we get Game 1 of the Heat-Celtics ECF (my preview here) and Game 7 of Nuggets-Clippers after the Nuggets fought back from a 1-3 deficit once again.

In honor of the Nuggets being close to completing their second major comeback of the playoffs, I’m going to introduce a new segment here at Mike Bets – Mike’s Top Three Comebacks of the Week.

1. Big Ten Football

It’s back baby. (allegedly)

2. The Nuggets

The Nuggets can move up to the first slot with a win tonight. Or if the Big Ten isn’t actually back.

3. Washington Football Team

The Washington Football Team scored 27 unanswered to beat the Eagles on Sunday.

Honorable Mention – Ben Rothlisberger

Big Ben threw 3 TDs last night in his return from injury.

This has been Mike’s Top Three Comebacks of the Week. Now onto the picks.

Record since the reset: 7-11-1 on individual bets, 1-1 on parlays, -33.00

Playoff Record: 41-47-2 on individual bets, 1-9 on parlays, -163.61

Total Record: 83-96-3 on individual bets, 6-38 on parlays, -226.14

Today’s picks –

• Nuggets +7.5 (-110)

The Clippers have opened up some big leads before blowing them in recent games, so there’s a chance they run away with this. I just don’t see it happening. It’s Game 7. It’ll be close.

• Heat ML (+115)

The Celtics played a whole lot more than the Heat did in Round 2. They don’t have the same amount of depth either. I like Boston in this series, but I think Miami rolls to a relatively easy win here with fatigue playing a role.

• Under 208.5 in both games (-110)

The Heat and Celtics are both very slow and very defensive right now, and the added element of the Celtics coming off of that grind of a series should keep this one even more low-scoring. I love the under. For Nuggets-Clippers, I would point everyone to this tweet from the MBAA’s own Ethan Perlmutter –

The Jokic/Murray Nuggets have been to three game 7s already. The final scores have been 90-86, 96-100 and 80-78. The over/under is currently set at 208.5. Do whatever you want with this information.

— Ethan Perlmutter (@EPerlmutter) September 15, 2020

Life is too long to bet the over.

Worst-case Scenario: -$48

Best-case: +$47

Today I win. Today we win. Up towards the mountain we go. All bets are $12 on my end.