Stat Padders

The Official Site of the Michigan Basketball Analytics Association

Mike Bets #337

2 min read

PORTLAND, OREGON - APRIL 02: Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 and Jrue Holiday #21 of the Milwaukee Bucks react in the fourth quarter against the Portland Trail Blazers at Moda Center on April 02, 2021 in Portland, Oregon. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images)

Happy Wednesday. We had our first bad day of the playoffs yesterday, going 0-3. The overall playoff record is down to 26-12. The Hawks fell short against the Heat despite the absence of Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry. That makes Miami the second team to move on the second round after their gentlemen’s sweep, and there will be no shortage of Trae Young criticism over the next few days after he failed to produce a single great performance in five tries. Then the Grizzlies came back to win at the buzzer (and miss coverage by a few points), grabbing a 3-2 series lead that might end up haunting the Timberwolves for a long time in the process. Minnesota has played better than those two numbers suggest, yet they’re still in need of two wins in two games as we head back to their place for Game 6. Then the Suns got past the Pelicans to reclaim some authority. They’re up 3-2, and New Orleans, like Minnesota, will be on the ropes at home in Game 6. Tonight, both the Bucks and Warriors look to close out a series in five. Let’s find some winners.


NBA record: 237-211-8 ATS (26-39 Underdog ML), 13-16-1 O/U, 5-8 parlay, 0-2 props

  • Bucks -12.5

Milwaukee won the last two games of this series by 54 combined points. Those games were played in Chicago. Now we’re going to Milwaukee with both Zach LaVine and Alex Caruso unavailable. The Bucks struggled in the first two games; they’re not struggling anymore. They roll into the second round tonight.

  • Warriors -9

The Nuggets deserve credit for grabbing a win at home. They’re severely overmatched in this series, and even getting to this point is something to feel okay about. I don’t like their odds of pushing this thing any further though. The two games in San Francisco were decided by 16 and 20 points, respectively, and the Warriors will come out hot to get this thing done. Rest can be at least some sort of a factor for them heading into the second round with Memphis and Minnesota locked in a dogfight.

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